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Quarterfinal 1-12017 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red284
322997.3
4561116.1
90097.0
Blue165
650090.8
672984.7
264092.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345283100200400500284165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#1
116.10.7
118.3→117.6
Auto10.8
Teleop51.2
End54.0
red by 24.0
2640
#16
92.12.5
94.8→92.4
Auto7.0
Teleop44.1
End41.0
Second
3229
#19
97.30.7
99.5→98.8
Auto13.7
Teleop43.8
End39.7
red by 6.5
6500
#14
90.82.5
93.5→91.1
Auto9.4
Teleop40.2
End41.1
Third
900
#2
97.00.7
99.2→98.5
Auto16.2
Teleop44.6
End36.2
red by 12.3
6729
#13
84.72.5
87.5→85.0
Auto11.7
Teleop31.5
End41.6