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Red345
554492.7
600481.6
435107.5
Blue308
1533108.0
567965.8
585494.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287271100150200250350400450345308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#5
107.55.0
104.0108.9
Auto15.3
Teleop45.4
End46.8
blue by 0.5
108.03.2
106.3109.5
Auto13.1
Teleop46.5
End48.4
Second
5544
#20
92.75.0
89.294.2
Auto9.3
Teleop48.4
End35.0
blue by 2.1
5854
#17
94.83.2
91.294.4
Auto10.7
Teleop47.8
End36.3
Third
81.65.0
77.582.4
Auto8.4
Teleop37.3
End35.9
red by 15.8
5679
#26
65.83.2
62.665.8
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End39.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed