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Red447
554492.7
435107.5
1533108.0
Blue445
3737108.7
650291.2
519087.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339295100200400500447445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.00.7
110.3111.0
Auto13.1
Teleop46.5
End48.4
blue by 0.7
3737
#12
108.71.4
107.4108.7
Auto10.9
Teleop49.4
End48.4
Second
435
#5
107.50.7
109.7110.5
Auto15.3
Teleop45.4
End46.8
red by 16.3
91.21.4
89.991.2
Auto13.1
Teleop44.9
End33.2
Third
5544
#20
92.70.7
95.095.7
Auto9.3
Teleop48.4
End35.0
red by 4.9
5190
#21
87.81.4
86.587.8
Auto13.3
Teleop40.4
End34.2