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Semifinal 2-22017 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red399
551193.3
587119.3
585494.8
Blue242
3196100.8
340286.4
2059100.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333311100200400500399242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#11
119.30.2
119.8→119.6
Auto11.3
Teleop53.5
End54.5
red by 18.5
3196
#18
100.81.2
103.8→102.6
Auto8.4
Teleop48.4
End44.0
Second
5854
#17
94.80.2
95.3→95.0
Auto10.7
Teleop47.8
End36.3
blue by 5.4
2059
#23
100.21.2
103.2→102.0
Auto11.2
Teleop42.5
End46.5
Third
5511
#30
93.30.2
93.7→93.5
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End39.3
red by 6.9
3402
#10
86.41.2
89.3→88.1
Auto12.8
Teleop44.8
End28.8