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Quarterfinal 3-22017 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red155
493577.2
268296.1
2642102.8
Blue309
585494.8
587119.3
551193.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299335100200400500600155309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#6
102.82.9
105.7→102.8
Auto11.8
Teleop52.0
End39.0
blue by 16.5
587
#11
119.30.0
119.8→119.8
Auto11.3
Teleop53.5
End54.5
Second
2682
#3
96.12.9
99.0→96.1
Auto12.0
Teleop47.8
End36.4
red by 1.3
5854
#17
94.80.0
95.3→95.3
Auto10.7
Teleop47.8
End36.3
Third
4935
#15
77.22.9
80.1→77.2
Auto9.4
Teleop39.3
End28.5
blue by 16.1
5511
#30
93.30.0
93.8→93.8
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End39.3