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Quarterfinal 4-12017 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red236
345980.9
600481.6
516096.7
Blue453
3196100.8
340286.4
2059100.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703120100200400500600236453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
#9
96.70.6
97.4→96.8
Auto12.2
Teleop35.6
End48.9
blue by 4.1
3196
#18
100.80.9
101.1→102.0
Auto8.4
Teleop48.4
End44.0
Second
6004
#4
81.60.6
82.2→81.7
Auto8.4
Teleop37.3
End35.9
blue by 18.6
2059
#23
100.20.9
100.5→101.4
Auto11.2
Teleop42.5
End46.5
Third
3459
#25
80.90.6
81.6→81.0
Auto10.0
Teleop39.9
End31.1
blue by 5.4
3402
#10
86.40.9
86.6→87.5
Auto12.8
Teleop44.8
End28.8