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Red250
268296.1
516096.7
633269.7
Blue243
264092.1
3196100.8
585494.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632830200400600800250243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.70.2
89.689.4
Auto12.2
Teleop35.6
End48.9
blue by 4.1
3196
#18
100.81.5
100.999.4
Auto8.4
Teleop48.4
End44.0
Second
96.10.2
86.586.3
Auto12.0
Teleop47.8
End36.4
red by 1.3
5854
#17
94.81.5
69.367.8
Auto10.7
Teleop47.8
End36.3
Third
6332
#22
69.70.2
76.376.2
Auto5.5
Teleop34.5
End29.7
blue by 22.4
2640
#16
92.11.5
96.094.4
Auto7.0
Teleop44.1
End41.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed