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Qual 212017 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red190
493577.2
519087.8
265584.3
Blue284
435107.5
2642102.8
2059100.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2453540100200300400500600190284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5190
#21
87.85.5
88.6→83.1
Auto13.3
Teleop40.4
End34.2
blue by 19.6
435
#5
107.54.2
101.1→96.9
Auto15.3
Teleop45.4
End46.8
Second
2655
#24
84.35.5
83.9→78.4
Auto11.2
Teleop32.9
End40.3
blue by 18.5
2642
#6
102.84.2
115.4→111.2
Auto11.8
Teleop52.0
End39.0
Third
4935
#15
77.25.5
74.8→69.3
Auto9.4
Teleop39.3
End28.5
blue by 23.0
2059
#23
100.24.2
105.1→100.9
Auto11.2
Teleop42.5
End46.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed