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Red153
333154.9
90063.2
205980.5
Blue146
265576.9
340258.7
633243.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22218450100150250300350400153146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.51.2
82.681.4
Auto7.6
Teleop35.5
End37.4
red by 3.6
2655
#19
76.90.9
77.176.2
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End42.1
Second
900
#5
63.21.2
65.264.1
Auto4.7
Teleop30.9
End27.6
red by 4.5
58.70.9
58.958.0
Auto14.2
Teleop39.8
End4.7
Third
3331
#18
54.91.3
57.255.9
Auto7.5
Teleop28.8
End18.6
red by 11.5
6332
#28
43.50.9
43.642.8
Auto-2.5
Teleop24.7
End21.2