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Red260
321534.0
1533110.0
58794.1
Blue110
265576.9
340258.7
633243.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267181100300400260110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.00.2
111.8111.6
Auto12.1
Teleop52.3
End45.6
red by 33.1
2655
#19
76.91.6
78.676.9
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End42.1
Second
587
#2
94.10.2
95.895.7
Auto5.4
Teleop48.2
End40.4
red by 35.4
58.71.6
60.358.7
Auto14.2
Teleop39.8
End4.7
Third
3215
#25
34.00.2
34.334.1
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End1.5
blue by 9.5
6332
#28
43.51.6
45.143.5
Auto-2.5
Teleop24.7
End21.2