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Red115
656534.7
572745.6
482939.5
Blue255
319686.6
554496.0
672950.0
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1062500200300400500115255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#10
45.60.1
45.745.6
Auto8.0
Teleop30.5
End7.1
blue by 50.4
96.00.8
90.891.7
Auto10.8
Teleop47.2
End38.1
Second
4829
#13
39.50.1
39.639.5
Auto8.5
Teleop30.9
End0.1
blue by 47.1
86.60.8
81.382.2
Auto11.5
Teleop35.4
End39.6
Third
6565
#16
34.70.1
34.834.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.5
End9.1
blue by 15.3
6729
#24
50.00.8
44.845.6
Auto8.3
Teleop28.1
End13.6