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Red210
333154.9
90063.2
205980.5
Blue210
265576.9
340258.7
633243.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2131850100300400500210210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.50.3
80.380.5
Auto7.6
Teleop35.5
End37.4
red by 3.6
2655
#19
76.90.7
77.077.7
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End42.1
Second
900
#5
63.20.3
62.963.2
Auto4.7
Teleop30.9
End27.6
red by 4.5
58.70.7
58.859.4
Auto14.2
Teleop39.8
End4.7
Third
3331
#18
54.90.3
54.654.9
Auto7.5
Teleop28.8
End18.6
red by 11.5
6332
#28
43.50.7
43.544.2
Auto-2.5
Teleop24.7
End21.2