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Red250
479561.8
2059107.1
3196106.6
Blue255
516077.5
268282.6
650267.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315225100200400500250255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.10.8
111.0110.1
Auto13.5
Teleop42.6
End51.1
red by 24.6
82.60.7
81.882.4
Auto9.5
Teleop44.0
End29.1
Second
106.60.8
110.4109.6
Auto10.0
Teleop44.6
End52.1
red by 29.1
5160
#11
77.50.7
76.777.3
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End38.1
Third
4795
#20
61.80.8
65.664.8
Auto7.9
Teleop28.5
End25.4
blue by 6.1
6502
#25
67.90.7
67.167.8
Auto8.3
Teleop41.4
End18.2