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Red271
90073.3
633275.5
551862.6
Blue305
43596.4
650085.2
333170.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209274100300400271305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.51.4
74.075.5
Auto3.3
Teleop31.9
End40.2
blue by 20.9
435
#10
96.41.2
96.197.3
Auto14.5
Teleop39.9
End42.1
Second
900
#28
73.31.4
71.873.3
Auto7.5
Teleop36.7
End29.0
blue by 12.0
85.21.2
85.086.2
Auto6.7
Teleop34.7
End43.8
Third
5518
#26
62.61.4
61.262.6
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End23.9
blue by 7.9
3331
#19
70.51.2
70.371.5
Auto9.3
Teleop31.6
End29.6