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Red308
479561.8
2059107.1
3196106.6
Blue230
516077.5
268282.6
650267.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312228100200400500308230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.10.5
110.1110.7
Auto13.5
Teleop42.6
End51.1
red by 24.6
82.60.5
82.481.9
Auto9.5
Teleop44.0
End29.1
Second
106.60.5
109.6110.1
Auto10.0
Teleop44.6
End52.1
red by 29.1
5160
#11
77.50.5
77.376.8
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End38.1
Third
4795
#20
61.80.5
64.865.3
Auto7.9
Teleop28.5
End25.4
blue by 6.1
6502
#25
67.90.5
67.867.3
Auto8.3
Teleop41.4
End18.2