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Red345
479561.8
2059107.1
3196106.6
Blue255
516077.5
268282.6
650267.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142260100200400500345255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.10.5
110.7110.2
Auto13.5
Teleop42.6
End51.1
red by 24.6
82.60.6
81.982.6
Auto9.5
Teleop44.0
End29.1
Second
106.60.5
110.1109.6
Auto10.0
Teleop44.6
End52.1
red by 29.1
5160
#11
77.50.6
76.877.5
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End38.1
Third
4795
#20
61.80.5
65.364.8
Auto7.9
Teleop28.5
End25.4
blue by 6.1
6502
#25
67.90.6
67.367.9
Auto8.3
Teleop41.4
End18.2