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Red200
481655.7
551186.9
587101.7
Blue85
633269.7
621459.8
129344.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271169010020030040050060020085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#4
101.70.0
101.7101.7
Auto9.2
Teleop48.0
End44.6
red by 32.1
6332
#24
69.70.0
69.769.7
Auto5.5
Teleop34.5
End29.7
Second
5511
#13
86.90.0
86.986.9
Auto12.0
Teleop42.2
End32.7
red by 27.1
6214
#30
59.80.0
59.859.8
Auto8.5
Teleop29.0
End22.3
Third
55.70.0
55.755.7
Auto6.9
Teleop31.9
End16.9
red by 11.7
1293
#14
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto8.6
Teleop31.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds