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Red195
482968.2
650090.8
345980.9
Blue205
551862.6
688839.9
435109.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2582170100300400500195205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6500
#18
90.80.0
90.890.8
Auto9.4
Teleop40.2
End41.1
blue by 18.4
435
#9
109.20.0
109.2109.2
Auto12.0
Teleop51.1
End46.1
Second
3459
#20
80.90.0
80.980.9
Auto10.0
Teleop39.9
End31.1
red by 18.3
5518
#26
62.60.0
62.662.6
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End23.9
Third
4829
#29
68.20.0
68.268.2
Auto8.3
Teleop35.5
End24.4
red by 28.3
6888
#23
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds2%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds