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Red305
519098.2
429081.0
265597.0
Blue149
4561115.9
1533105.3
453481.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2863300100200400500600700305149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.20.0
98.298.2
Auto13.8
Teleop43.6
End40.9
blue by 17.6
115.90.0
115.9115.9
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End49.9
Second
97.00.0
97.097.0
Auto11.4
Teleop35.7
End49.9
blue by 8.3
105.30.0
105.3105.3
Auto11.2
Teleop41.9
End52.2
Third
81.00.0
81.081.0
Auto6.7
Teleop36.9
End37.4
blue by 0.4
4534
#10
81.40.0
81.481.4
Auto6.5
Teleop44.9
End29.9