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Red95
551862.6
600481.6
554492.7
Blue308
4561115.9
1533105.3
453481.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236338010020030040050060095308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.70.0
92.792.7
Auto9.3
Teleop48.4
End35.0
blue by 23.1
115.90.0
115.9115.9
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End49.9
Second
81.60.0
81.681.6
Auto8.4
Teleop37.3
End35.9
blue by 23.7
105.30.0
105.3105.3
Auto11.2
Teleop41.9
End52.2
Third
5518
#12
62.60.0
62.662.6
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End23.9
blue by 18.8
4534
#10
81.40.0
81.481.4
Auto6.5
Teleop44.9
End29.9