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Red205
551862.6
600481.6
554492.7
Blue188
4561115.9
1533105.3
453481.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363380100200300400500205188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.70.0
92.792.7
Auto9.3
Teleop48.4
End35.0
blue by 23.1
115.90.0
115.9115.9
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End49.9
Second
81.60.0
81.681.6
Auto8.4
Teleop37.3
End35.9
blue by 23.7
105.30.0
105.3105.3
Auto11.2
Teleop41.9
End52.2
Third
5518
#12
62.60.0
62.662.6
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End23.9
blue by 18.8
4534
#10
81.40.0
81.481.4
Auto6.5
Teleop44.9
End29.9