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Red90
453445.9
379648.1
264090.0
Blue280
345955.7
429169.4
554452.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207169010030040050090280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.02.2
92.290.0
Auto2.2
Teleop34.7
End53.1
red by 20.6
69.42.0
65.667.6
Auto3.3
Teleop24.6
End41.5
Second
48.12.2
50.348.1
Auto3.9
Teleop25.7
End18.5
blue by 7.6
55.72.0
51.953.9
Auto5.6
Teleop29.5
End20.6
Third
4534
#22
45.92.5
48.445.9
Auto4.5
Teleop33.0
End8.4
blue by 6.2
5544
#24
52.12.0
48.450.3
Auto6.0
Teleop37.0
End9.1