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Red265
322968.8
656542.6
350651.5
Blue150
551174.3
516063.6
519056.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1601970100300400500600265150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3229
#23
68.82.7
66.869.5
Auto9.6
Teleop29.7
End29.4
blue by 5.5
5511
#11
74.30.9
70.069.1
Auto12.2
Teleop33.2
End28.8
Second
3506
#13
51.52.4
49.752.1
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End14.7
blue by 12.2
5160
#10
63.60.8
59.758.9
Auto4.7
Teleop29.9
End28.9
Third
6565
#12
42.62.7
40.643.2
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End19.7
blue by 13.6
5190
#15
56.10.8
52.351.4
Auto6.2
Teleop34.9
End15.1