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Red190
350651.5
656542.6
205977.8
Blue115
651243.3
650241.6
554452.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185121050100150250300350400190115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.82.6
80.878.2
Auto6.8
Teleop29.7
End41.2
red by 25.7
5544
#24
52.10.8
48.848.0
Auto6.0
Teleop37.0
End9.1
Second
3506
#13
51.52.4
51.549.2
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End14.7
red by 8.1
6512
#26
43.30.8
34.433.6
Auto7.8
Teleop22.5
End13.0
Third
6565
#12
42.62.6
34.531.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End19.7
red by 1.0
6502
#17
41.60.8
40.940.1
Auto4.6
Teleop32.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed