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Red154
479552.2
482841.9
429169.4
Blue145
519056.1
591933.9
429060.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14314180100120160180200154145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.41.7
59.160.8
Auto3.3
Teleop24.6
End41.5
red by 8.8
4290
#19
60.60.9
48.349.3
Auto10.8
Teleop30.1
End19.7
Second
4795
#16
52.21.7
36.638.4
Auto7.2
Teleop25.9
End19.1
blue by 3.9
5190
#15
56.10.9
52.853.7
Auto6.2
Teleop34.9
End15.1
Third
4828
#25
41.91.7
38.940.6
Auto1.8
Teleop25.5
End14.5
red by 8.0
5919
#29
33.90.9
34.135.0
Auto1.9
Teleop27.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed