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Red475
4564117.7
125115.6
558100.9
Blue333
1153102.0
3464112.3
133111.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368342200300400500475333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#18
117.71.1
115.1116.2
Auto13.4
Teleop49.9
End54.4
red by 5.4
112.30.2
111.4111.6
Auto11.2
Teleop49.0
End52.1
Second
125
#5
115.61.1
113.0114.1
Auto26.3
Teleop49.5
End39.8
red by 4.6
133
#31
111.00.2
110.1110.3
Auto12.4
Teleop56.4
End42.2
Third
558
#52
100.91.1
98.399.4
Auto14.1
Teleop52.6
End34.2
blue by 1.1
1153
#13
102.00.2
101.0101.3
Auto8.4
Teleop49.1
End44.5