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Red495
107393.7
2168132.1
195141.7
Blue333
558100.9
125115.6
4564117.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455361100200300400500600700800495333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
141.70.5
141.9141.4
Auto32.9
Teleop60.6
End48.2
red by 24.0
4564
#18
117.70.5
118.2117.7
Auto13.4
Teleop49.9
End54.4
Second
132.10.5
132.3131.8
Auto17.2
Teleop63.0
End51.9
red by 16.5
125
#5
115.60.5
116.1115.6
Auto26.3
Teleop49.5
End39.8
Third
1073
#34
93.70.5
93.993.4
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End35.4
blue by 7.2
558
#52
100.90.5
101.4100.9
Auto14.1
Teleop52.6
End34.2