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Red506
107393.7
2168132.1
195141.7
Blue466
558100.9
125115.6
4564117.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454360100200300400500600700800506466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
141.70.4
141.5141.9
Auto32.9
Teleop60.6
End48.2
red by 24.0
4564
#18
117.70.2
118.0118.2
Auto13.4
Teleop49.9
End54.4
Second
132.10.4
131.9132.3
Auto17.2
Teleop63.0
End51.9
red by 16.5
125
#5
115.60.2
115.8116.1
Auto26.3
Teleop49.5
End39.8
Third
1073
#34
93.70.4
93.593.9
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End35.4
blue by 7.2
558
#52
100.90.2
101.1101.4
Auto14.1
Teleop52.6
End34.2