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Red314
71680.0
107393.7
230132.2
Blue350
490694.7
4564117.7
620187.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294313100150200250350400450500314350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#26
132.22.2
126.3128.5
Auto18.4
Teleop60.1
End53.6
red by 14.5
4564
#18
117.73.3
112.6116.0
Auto13.4
Teleop49.9
End54.4
Second
1073
#34
93.72.2
81.583.6
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End35.4
blue by 1.0
4906
#48
94.73.3
96.699.9
Auto11.1
Teleop46.4
End37.2
Third
716
#54
80.02.2
73.976.0
Auto12.4
Teleop30.9
End36.7
blue by 7.6
6201
#22
87.63.3
85.688.9
Auto12.0
Teleop47.2
End28.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsMissed5%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed