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Red205
107182.7
555669.4
348104.6
Blue308
252393.9
8885.3
417695.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29027005001,0001,5002,000205308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#36
104.64.6
106.2101.7
Auto16.1
Teleop47.5
End41.1
red by 8.8
4176
#40
95.83.2
85.989.2
Auto12.9
Teleop49.0
End34.0
Second
1071
#55
82.74.6
89.584.9
Auto12.4
Teleop41.6
End28.7
blue by 11.2
2523
#61
93.93.2
93.997.1
Auto10.9
Teleop42.2
End40.8
Third
5556
#64
69.44.6
77.873.2
Auto5.7
Teleop40.3
End23.3
blue by 15.9
88
#51
85.33.2
79.883.0
Auto9.7
Teleop36.5
End39.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed