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Quarterfinal 1-12017 Battle Of the Bay
Red249
454640.0
1519100.9
568794.4
Blue375
107396.8
172966.0
23877.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27623504006008001,0001,2001,4001,600249375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#1
100.90.3
103.1→102.8
Auto29.3
Teleop39.3
End32.3
red by 4.1
1073
#23
96.81.2
90.5→91.7
Auto10.1
Teleop46.1
End40.6
Second
5687
#20
94.40.3
96.6→96.3
Auto7.9
Teleop54.3
End32.2
red by 17.0
238
#26
77.41.2
71.1→72.3
Auto7.7
Teleop39.9
End29.8
Third
4546
#28
40.00.3
42.2→41.9
Auto2.5
Teleop22.8
End14.7
blue by 26.0
1729
#13
66.01.2
59.7→60.9
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End27.3