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Semifinal 1-12017 Battle Of the Bay
Red445
23877.4
172966.0
107396.8
Blue292
13182.1
999675.1
405587.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255251150200300350400445292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#23
96.82.5
94.0→96.5
Auto10.1
Teleop46.1
End40.6
red by 9.6
4055
#15
87.21.2
85.8→86.9
Auto9.2
Teleop33.4
End44.6
Second
238
#26
77.42.5
74.5→77.1
Auto7.7
Teleop39.9
End29.8
blue by 4.6
131
#10
82.11.2
80.7→81.8
Auto11.0
Teleop39.2
End31.9
Third
1729
#13
66.02.5
63.2→65.7
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End27.3
blue by 9.1
9996
#6
75.11.2
73.7→74.9
Auto9.1
Teleop47.9
End18.1