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Red257
403466.3
131111.6
581392.7
Blue206
173585.6
234294.6
13887.8
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284284250300350257206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#2
111.60.3
111.3111.0
Auto14.9
Teleop53.1
End43.6
red by 17.0
94.61.4
95.193.6
Auto9.1
Teleop40.3
End45.3
Second
5813
#15
92.70.3
92.392.1
Auto7.0
Teleop50.0
End35.6
red by 4.8
138
#20
87.81.4
88.386.9
Auto8.9
Teleop42.2
End36.7
Third
4034
#24
66.30.3
66.065.7
Auto5.0
Teleop30.0
End31.4
blue by 19.2
1735
#16
85.61.4
86.084.6
Auto12.2
Teleop36.9
End36.5