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Red422
403466.3
131111.6
581392.7
Blue308
173585.6
234294.6
13887.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285278100200400500600422308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#2
111.60.6
111.0111.6
Auto14.9
Teleop53.1
End43.6
red by 17.0
94.61.0
93.694.6
Auto9.1
Teleop40.3
End45.3
Second
5813
#15
92.70.6
92.192.7
Auto7.0
Teleop50.0
End35.6
red by 4.8
138
#20
87.81.0
86.987.8
Auto8.9
Teleop42.2
End36.7
Third
4034
#24
66.30.6
65.766.3
Auto5.0
Teleop30.0
End31.4
blue by 19.2
1735
#16
85.61.0
84.685.6
Auto12.2
Teleop36.9
End36.5