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Red395
490866.9
5687109.8
1058102.2
Blue230
9584.0
2084101.0
395874.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287267150200250350400450395230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.80.6
106.9107.5
Auto14.8
Teleop53.3
End41.7
red by 8.8
101.01.1
99.998.7
Auto10.2
Teleop38.6
End52.2
Second
102.20.6
99.399.9
Auto7.7
Teleop56.6
End37.9
red by 18.2
95
#6
84.01.3
82.781.5
Auto10.6
Teleop33.1
End40.3
Third
4908
#18
66.90.8
63.063.8
Auto5.2
Teleop33.4
End28.3
blue by 7.5
3958
#19
74.41.3
73.271.9
Auto9.4
Teleop36.5
End28.5