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Red305
490866.9
5687109.8
1058102.2
Blue355
9584.0
2084101.0
395874.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290262100150200350400450500305355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.80.8
107.5108.2
Auto14.8
Teleop53.3
End41.7
red by 8.8
101.01.2
98.799.9
Auto10.2
Teleop38.6
End52.2
Second
102.20.8
99.9100.6
Auto7.7
Teleop56.6
End37.9
red by 18.2
95
#6
84.01.3
81.582.8
Auto10.6
Teleop33.1
End40.3
Third
4908
#18
66.91.0
63.864.8
Auto5.2
Teleop33.4
End28.3
blue by 7.5
3958
#19
74.41.3
71.973.2
Auto9.4
Teleop36.5
End28.5