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Red395
490866.9
5687109.8
1058102.2
Blue255
356658.5
669173.0
88546.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2891680100200400500395255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.80.8
103.2104.1
Auto14.8
Teleop53.3
End41.7
red by 36.8
6691
#11
73.02.0
72.073.9
Auto3.1
Teleop35.9
End34.0
Second
102.20.8
95.696.5
Auto7.7
Teleop56.6
End37.9
red by 43.7
3566
#28
58.52.4
57.259.6
Auto7.7
Teleop32.7
End18.2
Third
4908
#18
66.91.1
58.159.2
Auto5.2
Teleop33.4
End28.3
red by 20.2
885
#20
46.71.8
45.747.5
Auto6.9
Teleop28.1
End11.7