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Red205
490866.9
5687109.8
1058102.2
Blue205
13188.4
13869.6
107379.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281241100200400500205205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.8
Auto14.8
Teleop53.3
End41.7
red by 21.4
131
#15
88.4
Auto14.6
Teleop42.2
End31.7
Second
102.2
Auto7.7
Teleop56.6
End37.9
red by 22.8
1073
#26
79.3
Auto9.0
Teleop38.6
End31.8
Third
4908
#18
66.9
Auto5.2
Teleop33.4
End28.3
blue by 2.7
138
#7
69.6
Auto9.4
Teleop38.4
End21.9