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Red145
17253.0
19078.1
23884.0
Blue155
125127.9
81154.0
50973.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2312880100200400500145155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#23
84.05.4
84.278.8
Auto12.1
Teleop42.6
End29.3
blue by 43.9
125
#1
127.97.8
125.5117.7
Auto27.9
Teleop49.0
End51.1
Second
190
#24
78.15.4
83.578.1
Auto8.7
Teleop34.6
End34.7
red by 4.6
509
#6
73.47.8
81.473.6
Auto6.9
Teleop29.5
End37.0
Third
172
#21
53.05.4
58.653.2
Auto4.7
Teleop25.4
End22.9
blue by 1.0
811
#4
54.07.8
59.551.8
Auto8.4
Teleop32.7
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
7%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed68%Pressure oddsEarned