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Red290
16660.4
555677.5
192289.9
Blue235
287682.9
34875.6
172971.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227219100150200250300290235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#22
89.95.5
84.589.9
Auto7.1
Teleop43.9
End38.9
red by 7.1
2876
#20
82.90.9
76.377.2
Auto9.4
Teleop44.2
End29.3
Second
77.55.5
69.775.2
Auto5.3
Teleop29.4
End42.7
red by 1.9
348
#28
75.60.9
74.775.6
Auto11.3
Teleop40.2
End24.1
Third
166
#15
60.45.5
48.854.3
Auto3.8
Teleop36.2
End20.3
blue by 10.6
1729
#18
71.00.9
70.471.3
Auto6.7
Teleop33.4
End30.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed