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Red339
75250.0
2168121.7
303103.9
Blue305
1257100.4
180790.4
457370.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275271220240260300320340339305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.71.2
116.3117.5
Auto16.6
Teleop61.2
End44.0
red by 21.3
1257
#11
100.41.0
99.4100.4
Auto6.9
Teleop49.7
End43.8
Second
303
#17
103.91.2
98.599.7
Auto15.5
Teleop43.5
End45.0
red by 13.5
1807
#10
90.41.0
89.490.4
Auto5.8
Teleop40.1
End44.5
Third
752
#26
50.01.2
44.645.8
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End18.0
blue by 20.1
4573
#13
70.11.0
69.070.1
Auto9.8
Teleop24.9
End35.4