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Red322
75250.0
2168121.7
303103.9
Blue191
19371.7
137083.4
334063.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2882210100400500600700322191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.71.3
117.5118.8
Auto16.6
Teleop61.2
End44.0
red by 38.3
83.40.6
83.482.8
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End52.0
Second
303
#17
103.91.3
99.7101.0
Auto15.5
Teleop43.5
End45.0
red by 32.2
193
#18
71.70.6
71.771.1
Auto5.1
Teleop33.2
End33.4
Third
752
#26
50.01.3
45.847.1
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End18.0
blue by 13.6
3340
#37
63.60.6
63.663.0
Auto6.5
Teleop34.4
End22.7