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Red255
162654.0
22385.4
127988.5
Blue267
19371.7
137083.4
334063.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2402270100200300400500255267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.50.6
87.888.5
Auto8.5
Teleop44.7
End35.3
red by 5.1
83.40.6
82.883.4
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End52.0
Second
223
#4
85.40.6
84.785.4
Auto9.6
Teleop37.8
End38.0
red by 13.6
193
#18
71.70.6
71.271.7
Auto5.1
Teleop33.2
End33.4
Third
1626
#21
54.00.6
53.454.0
Auto6.3
Teleop28.0
End19.7
blue by 9.6
3340
#37
63.60.6
63.163.6
Auto6.5
Teleop34.4
End22.7