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Red261
428153.0
5698.1
834103.1
Blue259
4158.3
10278.0
140397.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2772300100200400500261259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#16
103.10.5
103.9103.4
Auto10.6
Teleop49.2
End43.4
red by 5.6
1403
#19
97.60.8
94.395.1
Auto6.5
Teleop40.4
End50.6
Second
56
#2
98.10.5
98.998.4
Auto10.1
Teleop48.1
End39.9
red by 20.1
102
#9
78.00.8
74.875.5
Auto6.0
Teleop35.9
End36.1
Third
4281
#14
53.00.5
53.853.4
Auto10.1
Teleop24.0
End19.0
blue by 5.3
41
#27
58.30.8
55.155.9
Auto4.4
Teleop35.1
End18.9