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Quarterfinal 1-22017 Duel on the Delaware
Red395
245894.5
164084.0
272995.8
Blue155
121869.2
463886.1
218075.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3072340100200400500600395155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2729
Unranked
95.80.0
95.8→95.8
Auto11.5
Teleop46.4
End37.8
red by 9.7
4638
Unranked
86.10.0
86.1→86.1
Auto13.9
Teleop39.3
End32.9
Second
2458
Unranked
94.50.0
94.5→94.5
Auto9.5
Teleop38.9
End46.2
red by 18.7
2180
Unranked
75.80.0
75.8→75.8
Auto9.0
Teleop29.1
End37.8
Third
1640
Unranked
84.00.0
84.0→84.0
Auto7.1
Teleop36.4
End40.5
red by 14.7
1218
Unranked
69.20.0
69.2→69.2
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End30.3