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Red155
245894.5
164084.0
272995.8
Blue371
27179.5
22594.2
463783.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30028050100150200250350400450155371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2729
Unranked
95.80.0
95.895.8
Auto11.5
Teleop46.4
End37.8
red by 1.6
225
Unranked
94.20.0
94.294.2
Auto20.9
Teleop46.7
End26.5
Second
2458
Unranked
94.50.0
94.594.5
Auto9.5
Teleop38.9
End46.2
red by 10.6
4637
Unranked
83.90.0
83.983.9
Auto10.5
Teleop36.5
End36.9
Third
1640
Unranked
84.00.0
84.084.0
Auto7.1
Teleop36.4
End40.5
red by 4.4
271
Unranked
79.50.0
79.579.5
Auto7.5
Teleop34.9
End37.1