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Red215
53382.2
463886.1
8738.4
Blue216
434296.5
22594.2
218075.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20629204006008001,0001,2001,400215216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4638
Unranked
86.10.0
86.186.1
Auto13.9
Teleop39.3
End32.9
blue by 10.4
4342
Unranked
96.50.0
96.596.5
Auto13.4
Teleop42.3
End40.8
Second
533
Unranked
82.20.0
82.282.2
Auto12.8
Teleop34.6
End34.8
blue by 11.9
225
Unranked
94.20.0
94.294.2
Auto20.9
Teleop46.7
End26.5
Third
87
Unranked
38.40.0
38.438.4
Auto6.7
Teleop20.8
End10.9
blue by 37.4
2180
Unranked
75.80.0
75.875.8
Auto9.0
Teleop29.1
End37.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds3%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds41%Pressure odds