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Red240
108995.6
32163.1
272995.8
Blue166
341100.1
622674.7
365108.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26230305001,0001,5002,000240166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2729
Unranked
95.80.0
95.895.8
Auto11.5
Teleop46.4
End37.8
blue by 12.4
365
Unranked
108.20.0
108.2108.2
Auto19.0
Teleop50.6
End38.6
Second
1089
Unranked
95.60.0
95.695.6
Auto13.0
Teleop41.6
End41.1
blue by 4.5
341
Unranked
100.10.0
100.1100.1
Auto14.5
Teleop45.7
End39.9
Third
321
Unranked
63.10.0
63.163.1
Auto9.8
Teleop33.3
End19.9
blue by 11.6
6226
Unranked
74.70.0
74.774.7
Auto6.4
Teleop27.1
End41.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds13%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds