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Red97
22594.2
203105.9
137087.3
Blue204
164084.0
303127.0
218075.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30330210020025097204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
Unranked
105.90.0
105.9105.9
Auto16.4
Teleop52.5
End37.0
blue by 21.1
303
Unranked
127.00.0
127.0127.0
Auto18.7
Teleop56.7
End51.7
Second
225
Unranked
94.20.0
94.294.2
Auto20.9
Teleop46.7
End26.5
red by 10.2
1640
Unranked
84.00.0
84.084.0
Auto7.1
Teleop36.4
End40.5
Third
1370
Unranked
87.30.0
87.387.3
Auto7.8
Teleop28.2
End51.4
red by 11.5
2180
Unranked
75.80.0
75.875.8
Auto9.0
Teleop29.1
End37.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
11%Rotor odds23%Rotor odds
Pressure
49%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds