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Red195
434296.5
171937.2
747103.8
Blue145
27179.5
121869.2
162661.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2552160100300400500195145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
747
Unranked
103.80.0
103.8103.8
Auto7.9
Teleop45.7
End50.2
red by 24.2
271
Unranked
79.50.0
79.579.5
Auto7.5
Teleop34.9
End37.1
Second
4342
Unranked
96.50.0
96.596.5
Auto13.4
Teleop42.3
End40.8
red by 27.3
1218
Unranked
69.20.0
69.269.2
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End30.3
Third
1719
Unranked
37.20.0
37.237.2
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End7.3
blue by 24.3
1626
Unranked
61.50.0
61.561.5
Auto7.9
Teleop29.7
End24.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds